Perhaps in the future atmospheric analysis will be included in estimating risk. But currently only risk analysis - based on stress accumulation, historical patterns, the geology of a region, the tectonics of the region, and so forth - is possible. The questions that need answering are where, when, and how strong. With all these earthquakes rattling the lithosphere on a regular basis, saying an earthquake is coming is about as pointless as saying the wind will blow.
For example, more than a million earthquakes in the magnitude 2 to 2.9 range strike each year. But lower magnitude earthquakes are more common. **Get alerts of major earthquakes sent to you by email from the USGS and follow along as the day progresses.** On average the number of earthquakes that will strike each year include: 1 earthquake of magnitude 8 or larger 17 earthquakes of magnitudes ranging from 7 to 7.9 134 earthquakes of magnitudes ranging from 6 to 6.9 and 1,319 earthquakes of magnitudes 5 to 5.9. But I won't be making any money on that bet, as the average number of earthquakes of magnitude 5 or higher is four a day. If I want to play it safe, I could say two earthquakes of this magnitude will strike before the day is out. In which case, I need to revise my prediction.
BLOG: Rome Still Intact Despite Earthquake PredictionĪs the Day of Rapture, which is allegedly upon us on Saturday, is supposed to include a terrible earthquake, we can assume the magnitude of this event must be greater than 5.0.
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